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Sprint 10 · Module 05 of 10

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05 — Regional Expansion

We expand by region in sequence, not in parallel. Two regions launched at once historically halves the success rate of both. The order: deepen UK → second UK hub → first international beachhead → second international → multi-region structure.

Entry criteria (a region opens only when ALL are true)

  1. Three named anchor clients signed or in late-stage pipeline in the region
  2. Local Country Lead identified and in seat 90 days before first cohort
  3. Local accredited coach bench ≥ 6 through the Sprint 7 pipeline (not seconded from HQ for >1 cohort)
  4. Safeguarding pathway mapped to local statutory bodies and tested with a tabletop scenario
  5. Regulatory scan completed (financial guidance boundaries, data residency, employment law)
  6. Capacity model (§03) shows positive contribution by month 18 in the regional sub-model

If any criterion fails, the region is deferred, not downgraded. We do not enter regions on hope.

Exit / pause criteria (any one triggers QSR-level review)

  • Bench falls below 4 accredited coaches for two consecutive months
  • Two consecutive cohorts amber/red on the RAG mix
  • A safeguarding incident escalates to Sev 1 with local statutory body involvement
  • Regional gross margin < 45% for two consecutive quarters
  • Country Lead departs and replacement not identified within 60 days

Sequencing (illustrative, not commitments)

WaveGeographyStage gateTiming
0London + South EastLiveS1
1Manchester / North WestAnchor clients secured, Country Lead = Regional Delivery LeadS2
2Scotland (Edinburgh / Glasgow)Devolved regulatory differences mappedS2 → S3
3Republic of IrelandFirst international; GDPR continuity helps; safeguarding pathway differsS3
4Netherlands / NordicsEnglish-language workplace norm; strong workplace wellbeing marketS3 → S4
5North America (Canada first, then US)Highest regulatory complexity; deferred until §06 localisation playbook provenS4

We do not chase markets primarily because a single client wants us there. One-client expansion = stranded fixed cost.

Beachhead playbook (per region)

Day -180  Region candidate scored against entry criteria
Day -120  Anchor client conversations begin; Country Lead search opens
Day  -90  Country Lead in seat; safeguarding + regulatory scan kicks off
Day  -60  Local coach pipeline opens (Sprint 7 funnel adapted)
Day  -30  Local DSL pathway + sub-processor / data residency confirmed
Day    0  First cohort launches; HQ shadowing on weeks 1, 6, 12
Day  +90  Region review: extend, hold, or pull back
Day +180  Second cohort cycle; bench at ≥ 6; or trigger pause criteria

What HQ provides vs what the region owns

Owned by HQ (global)Owned by region
Curriculum + facilitator runsheetsLocal case examples & cultural adaptation
Coach competency framework + accreditationLocal coach recruitment + supervision delivery
Evidence methodology + Evidence RoomLocal data collection & translation
Brand, public reports, pricing architectureLocal positioning, partnerships, account management
Safeguarding policy + DSL functionLocal statutory pathway + tabletop exercises

Quality standards do not localise. Operations do.

Risk deltas this creates (carried into §09 and Sprint 9 §06)

  • RR-NEW-A: First international cohort underperforms → reputational drag in entire region
  • RR-NEW-B: Regional bench under-supply leads to HQ-seconded coaches > 1 cohort → quality dilution
  • RR-NEW-C: Regulatory mismatch on financial wellbeing scope between UK FCA-style boundary and local equivalent

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