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Sprint 5 · Module 07 of 7

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07 — Rollup to SROI Row 1

Audience: Impact Lead compiling the Q1 board report (Sprint 3 §03). Use: Defines exactly how dashboard data becomes the headline SROI ratio.

The Row 1 sentence

"For every £1 invested, this cohort returned £X.XX in value — driven by [top 2 drivers]."

The number is calculated. The drivers are evidenced. Both are auditable.

Inputs (all from §05 data model)

InputSourceUsed for
Engagement feeClient contract (CRM)Denominator
Workshop attendance %v_cohort_engagementQuality weighting
Coaching delivered countv_cohort_engagementConfidence in behavioural data
Pulse responses (Day-30)pulse_responses (n≥5)Behavioural delta evidence
Confidence deltav_cohort_sentiment_deltasDriver: wellbeing/confidence
Self-reported conversations openedPulse Q4 (Sprint 1 §06 / Sprint 3 §05)Driver: manager capability
Self-reported workload adjustments madePulse Q5Driver: line management quality
Sector wage dataONS public dataset (cached annually)Productivity proxy
Avoided turnover (modelled)UK CIPD turnover cost data × estimated retention liftDriver: retention value
Avoided absence (modelled)HSE workplace absence cost data × estimated absence deltaDriver: presenteeism value

Formula (simplified)

total_value = (
    avoided_turnover_value +
    avoided_absence_value +
    productivity_uplift_value
) × confidence_factor

row1_ratio = total_value / engagement_fee

Where confidence_factor is bounded by:

confidence_factor = min(
  pulse_response_rate / 0.6,    # 60% response rate = full weighting
  workshop_attendance / 0.8,    # 80% attendance = full weighting
  1.0
)

This means a cohort with poor engagement cannot game a high SROI ratio — the confidence factor down-weights everything.

Driver definitions

Top 2 drivers shown in the headline are the two with the largest contribution to total_value. Always cite the mechanism, not just the value. Examples:

  • "driven by managers opening earlier wellbeing conversations and a measurable reduction in modelled absence days"
  • "driven by avoided modelled turnover in the frontline cohort and confidence gains in financial conversations"

What NOT to claim

  • No clinical outcomes. Never claim reduced depression, anxiety, or any DSM/ICD concept. We are not a clinical service (see project memory: no-clinical-services).
  • No causal language without confidence factor. Always: "associated with", "coincided with", "self-reported" — never "caused" or "led to" unless a controlled comparison was contracted.
  • No individual attribution. Never: "Sarah moved from amber to green." Always cohort-level.
  • No cross-client benchmarking in v1. "Top quartile" claims need the v2 benchmark dataset.

Audit trail

Every sroi_rollups row stores calculation_jsonb with:

  • All input values used
  • All public dataset versions (e.g. "ONS_ASHE_2025_Q3")
  • Confidence factor breakdown
  • Driver contributions
  • Calculation timestamp + script version

If a client challenges the number, Impact Lead can reconstruct it from calculation_jsonb alone — no recalculation needed.

Sign-off chain

StepOwnerWhat they check
1. Auto-calculationCron job (weekly from W6)Formula runs without error; writes sroi_rollups
2. Driver reviewImpact Lead (W12)Top 2 drivers make narrative sense vs Row 4 stories
3. Quality gateDelivery Lead (W12)Confidence factor ≥0.6; if lower, hold publication
4. Board report compileAccount Mgr (W12-13)Pulls Row 1 sentence into Sprint 3 §03 template
5. Client reviewHR sponsor (W13)48h window to query before final delivery
6. Final deliveryAccount Mgr (W13)PDF + dashboard archived snapshot

When to suppress Row 1 entirely

Do not publish Row 1 if any of:

  • Pulse response rate <40% and workshop attendance <70%.
  • Cohort size <10 (statistical reliability floor).
  • Material change to client context mid-engagement (restructure, acquisition) that confounds the measurement.

In those cases, the board report shows Rows 2-4 only, with an explicit note:

"Row 1 SROI calculation suppressed for this cohort. See Section [X] for context. Engagement evidence is presented in Rows 2-4."

This protects the credibility of every other Row 1 we publish.


End of Sprint 5. This closes the loop: Sprints 1-4 curriculum runs inside the Sprint 5 hybrid playbook, surfaces on the dashboard, and rolls up to the Sprint 3 board report.

Next: Sprint 6 — Sales enablement + pricing calculator. Say "ship 6".

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